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French Polymarket Trader Defies Mainstream Pollsters, Earns $48M—Here’s His Strategy

In a huge victory for everyday Americans skeptical of mainstream media, a French Polymarket trader named “Théo” has walked away with a whopping $48 million in profits by betting against the supposed “experts” in the U.S. election. Théo’s success was no lucky guess—he outsmarted top U.S. pollsters by calculating a factor they routinely ignore: the “shy Trump voter effect.”

While mainstream media pollsters continued pushing narratives aligned with their own agendas, Théo focused on “neighbor surveys.” These surveys ask respondents not who they are voting for but who they think their neighbors will choose, which provides a better gauge of the hidden support for Trump. The tactic isn’t a new one, but it’s frequently disregarded in U.S. polling, and Théo used it to his advantage.

The trader didn’t stop there. He personally hired surveyors to dig even deeper and found, unsurprisingly, a “mind-blowing” number of voters quietly backing Trump. Théo’s results starkly contrasted the majority of media-driven polling, which continues to cater to public opinion manipulation instead of accurate prediction. The outcome? A near landslide for Trump support, which the mainstream simply didn’t see coming—or didn’t want to see.

Théo’s bold predictions exposed the holes in traditional polling methods and underscored what many Americans believe: U.S. media pollsters often fail to capture the reality on the ground, particularly when it comes to conservative support. His success isn’t just a financial win—it’s a win for truth and a testament to the power of independent thinking in an age dominated by media narratives.

Alex Hall

Alex D is a conservative journalist, who covers all issues of importance for conservatives. He writes for Conservative US, Red State Nation, Defiant America, and Supreme Insider. He brings attention and insight from what happens in the White House to the streets of American towns, because it all has an impact on our future, and the country left for our children. Exposing the truth is his ultimate goal, mixed with wit where it's appropriate, and feels that journalism shouldn't be censored. Join him & let's spread the good word!

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